Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 195.400875 225.850863 260.459355 302.907906 353.842258 413.332337 488.569716
2025-09-28 153.657038 192.131548 240.208771 305.468089 392.931150 507.823982 673.066492
2025-10-05 135.823857 179.709258 238.471529 324.535288 450.169205 631.419702 921.381823
2025-10-12 122.991106 170.203590 237.028846 341.206103 504.604590 760.194075 1209.748988
2025-10-19 108.526318 155.547440 225.078107 339.040242 528.601411 845.864738 1451.291280
2025-10-26 99.835198 147.778778 221.605384 348.445284 571.624254 970.639909 1796.800627
2025-11-02 91.596845 139.412771 215.684807 352.286345 605.056421 1085.049032 2157.701109
2025-11-09 84.968984 132.657294 211.231918 357.508928 641.370917 1212.551269 2588.534183
2025-11-16 78.497578 125.325459 204.725869 357.744849 667.774638 1325.808152 3027.253943
2025-11-23 72.663666 118.382314 197.949302 356.243836 690.088446 1435.303127 3498.309118
2025-11-30 68.567037 113.984166 195.118350 361.809987 728.107271 1589.761296 4154.528650
2025-12-07 62.462508 105.392892 183.583884 348.140685 721.146560 1634.517918 4511.669469
2025-12-14 58.102866 99.971536 178.201246 348.195499 749.951279 1789.069119 5330.851654
2025-12-21 54.438995 95.521103 174.282635 351.102511 787.361594 1982.322207 6415.219847
2025-12-28 53.135164 95.383029 178.855657 373.616798 879.585662 2366.074761 8500.062429
2026-01-04 51.602747 94.602728 181.971472 393.342599 970.156370 2784.341105 11116.017375
2026-01-11 48.304316 89.927246 176.251890 390.777928 998.216713 3010.808263 13064.414977
2026-01-18 46.406832 87.915612 176.042910 401.918401 1069.582836 3422.312388 16441.525146
2026-01-25 44.184670 84.996538 173.449922 406.471048 1122.407428 3791.572102 20057.667456
2026-02-01 42.263770 82.528471 171.583761 412.663753 1182.637868 4223.109607 24726.899207
2026-02-08 40.127542 79.391057 167.793244 412.943567 1223.563392 4596.332896 29603.460571
2026-02-15 38.049963 76.196942 163.514536 411.163391 1257.255350 4958.058221 35078.364409
2026-02-22 36.609793 74.302263 162.177694 417.765981 1323.889290 5521.654428 43674.778270